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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Zagreb host NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dinamo Zagreb Win — Dinamo Zagreb to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen.
Going into the match, Dinamo Zagreb had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. NEC Nijmegen had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10 and 7 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Zagreb averaged 2.19 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.17 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 from NEC Nijmegen. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dinamo Zagreb (green) and NEC Nijmegen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | WWLWW | 2.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
| NEC Nijmegen | DDDDL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Dinamo Zagreb Win | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–1