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UEFA Europa League · International
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus host Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha.
Going into the match, Olympiakos Piraeus had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Sparta Praha had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Olympiakos Piraeus's last 10 and 4 of Sparta Praha's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Olympiakos Piraeus averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sparta Praha averaged 1.57 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.01 from Sparta Praha. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 31%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Olympiakos Piraeus (green) and Sparta Praha (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | WWWWW | 1.60 | 0.50 | 30% | 30% |
| Sparta Praha | DDWWW | 2.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Bournemouth vs AC Milan · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Celtic vs Celta Vigo · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–3 - Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–6 - Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–4 - Plzen vs Levski Sofia · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–4 - Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Dinamo Zagreb Win @ 1.62 · FT 2–4 - Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–1