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J3 League · Japan
Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tochigi SC host Biwako Shiga in the J3 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tochigi SC 1–0 Biwako Shiga.
Going into the match, Tochigi SC had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Biwako Shiga had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tochigi SC's last 10 and 3 of Biwako Shiga's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tochigi SC averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Biwako Shiga averaged 1.42 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Tochigi SC and 1.00 from Biwako Shiga. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 30%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tochigi SC (green) and Biwako Shiga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | LLDLL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Biwako Shiga | LDDLW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Tochigi SC Win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Tochigi SC HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - FC Gifu vs Sagamihara · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1 - Kagoshima United vs Kochi United · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Kagoshima United Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kanazawa · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 3–1 - Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 · FT 3–0 - Osaka vs Nara Club · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–0 - Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–1