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J3 League · Japan
Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parceiro Nagano host FC Ryukyu in the J3 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Parceiro Nagano 0–1 FC Ryukyu.
Going into the match, Parceiro Nagano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. FC Ryukyu had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Parceiro Nagano's last 10 and 5 of FC Ryukyu's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parceiro Nagano averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FC Ryukyu averaged 0.92 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Parceiro Nagano and 1.20 from FC Ryukyu. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parceiro Nagano (green) and FC Ryukyu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | WWLLW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
| FC Ryukyu | WLLDL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| FC Ryukyu Win | 39% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - FC Gifu vs Sagamihara · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1 - Kagoshima United vs Kochi United · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Kagoshima United Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kanazawa · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 3–1 - Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 · FT 3–0 - Osaka vs Nara Club · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–0 - Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0