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J3 League · Japan

Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 63%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fukushima United host Kitakyushu in the J3 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Fukushima United 2–1 Kitakyushu.

Going into the match, Fukushima United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 28. Kitakyushu had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Fukushima United's last 10 and 6 of Kitakyushu's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fukushima United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Kitakyushu averaged 1.15 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from Fukushima United and 1.73 from Kitakyushu. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fukushima United (green) and Kitakyushu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence28% – 72%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals64% – 36%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Fukushima UnitedLDLLW1.902.8080%90%
KitakyushuWLWLD1.401.9060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No71%1.28
BTTS Yes63%1.44
Over 2.5 Goals62%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals57%1.64
Under 10.5 Corners56%1.67
Fukushima United Win43%2.10
Under 2.5 Goals38%2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other J3 League matches that day