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J3 League · Japan
Kagoshima United vs Kochi United prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kagoshima United host Kochi United in the J3 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kagoshima United Win — Kagoshima United to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kagoshima United 3–1 Kochi United.
Going into the match, Kagoshima United had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 15. Kochi United had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kagoshima United's last 10 and 3 of Kochi United's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kagoshima United averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kochi United averaged 0.33 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.69 goals from Kagoshima United and 0.46 from Kochi United. From that it rates a home win at 84%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 4%, against 59%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kagoshima United (green) and Kochi United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima United | WLLWD | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Kochi United | LLLLL | 0.40 | 1.90 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Kagoshima United Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Kagoshima United HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - FC Gifu vs Sagamihara · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kanazawa · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 3–1 - Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 · FT 3–0 - Osaka vs Nara Club · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–0 - Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–1 - Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0