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J3 League · Japan
Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Roasso Kumamoto host Gainare Tottori in the J3 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Roasso Kumamoto 3–0 Gainare Tottori.
Going into the match, Roasso Kumamoto had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Gainare Tottori had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Roasso Kumamoto's last 10 and 5 of Gainare Tottori's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Roasso Kumamoto averaged 0.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gainare Tottori averaged 1.75 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Roasso Kumamoto and 0.77 from Gainare Tottori. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 20%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Roasso Kumamoto (green) and Gainare Tottori (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | WLDLW | 1.20 | 0.60 | 20% | 30% |
| Gainare Tottori | DLLDW | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Aug 2026 · Gainare Tottori 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto
- 25 Apr 2026 · Gainare Tottori 0–2 Roasso Kumamoto
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Roasso Kumamoto Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Roasso Kumamoto HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J3 League matches that day
- Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - FC Gifu vs Sagamihara · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1 - Kagoshima United vs Kochi United · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: Kagoshima United Win @ 1.53 · FT 3–1 - Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kanazawa · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 3–1 - Osaka vs Nara Club · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 2–0 - Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 2–0 - Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–1 - Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga · 21 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J3 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0