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UEFA Champions League · International
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal prediction and preview
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Sinobo Stadium, Prague
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Slavia Praha host Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Slavia Praha had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 7. Arsenal had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Slavia Praha's last 10 and 4 of Arsenal's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Slavia Praha averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Arsenal averaged 1.53 scored and 0.93 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Slavia Praha and 1.09 from Arsenal. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 10%, 15% and 75% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Slavia Praha (green) and Arsenal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | WWDDD | 2.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Arsenal | WDWDW | 1.80 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Win | 76% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Arsenal 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Arsenal HT & FT | 54% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - FC Porto vs Napoli · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Lens vs Como · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - RB Leipzig vs Manchester City · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Viking vs Sabah FA · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44