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UEFA Champions League · International
Lens vs Como prediction and preview
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lens host Como in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lens had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Como had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lens's last 10 and 6 of Como's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lens averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.19 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Como averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Lens and 1.43 from Como. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 38%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lens (green) and Como (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Como Win | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - FC Porto vs Napoli · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44