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UEFA Champions League · International
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction and preview
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, RB Leipzig had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 17. Manchester City had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 10 and 6 of Manchester City's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Leipzig averaged 3.22 goals scored and 0.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Manchester City averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.68 from Manchester City. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 33%, against 18%, 20% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Leipzig (green) and Manchester City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | WWWLL | 2.30 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
| Manchester City | LDLWW | 2.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Manchester City Win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
| Manchester City HT & FT | 42% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - FC Porto vs Napoli · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Slavia Praha vs Arsenal · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Viking vs Sabah FA · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44