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UEFA Champions League · International
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis prediction and preview
4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Borussia Dortmund had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Real Betis had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 and 7 of Real Betis's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Real Betis averaged 1.57 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 0.87 from Real Betis. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Borussia Dortmund (green) and Real Betis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | DWWWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Real Betis | WDWLW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- FC Porto vs Napoli · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Lens vs Como · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - RB Leipzig vs Manchester City · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Slavia Praha vs Arsenal · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Viking vs Sabah FA · 4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool · 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44