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Liga Alef · Israel
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shimshon Tel Aviv host Nordia Jerusalem in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Shimshon Tel Aviv had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Nordia Jerusalem had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 7, with 3 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shimshon Tel Aviv's last 7 and 3 of Nordia Jerusalem's last 7; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shimshon Tel Aviv averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nordia Jerusalem averaged 0.33 scored and 3.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.93 goals from Shimshon Tel Aviv and 0.46 from Nordia Jerusalem. From that it rates a home win at 94%, a draw at 5% and an away win at 1%, against 82%, 12% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shimshon Tel Aviv (green) and Nordia Jerusalem (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | WWLWW | 2.00 | 0.86 | 57% | 71% |
| Nordia Jerusalem | LLLLL | 0.43 | 3.14 | 43% | 71% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.44 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.71 |
| 3-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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