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Liga Alef · Israel
Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Beit Shemesh host Hapoel Mahane Yehuda in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ironi Beit Shemesh had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ironi Beit Shemesh's last 7 and 4 of Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's last 7; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Beit Shemesh averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Hapoel Mahane Yehuda averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Ironi Beit Shemesh and 2.21 from Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 52%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Beit Shemesh (green) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | DWLWD | 1.57 | 2.43 | 71% | 71% |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | WDLLL | 1.14 | 1.43 | 57% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus · 23 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Nesher · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Ironi Nesher Win @ 1.57 - Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Holon Yermiyahu Win @ 1.62 - Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem · 23 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · 23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 - Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Dimona · 23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.50 - Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit · 23 Oct 2026, 10:25 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.50 - Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 - Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · 23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot · 23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50