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Liga Alef · Israel
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Nesher prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ironi Nesher Win — Ironi Nesher to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Ironi Nesher had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed's last 7 and 5 of Ironi Nesher's last 8; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Ironi Nesher averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and 3.17 from Ironi Nesher. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 80%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (green) and Ironi Nesher (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | WDLWL | 1.29 | 1.71 | 57% | 57% |
| Ironi Nesher | WLLWD | 2.88 | 1.00 | 63% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Ironi Nesher Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Ironi Nesher HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus · 23 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 - Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga Alef
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · 23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Liga Alef
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Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 - Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · 23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot · 23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50