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Liga Alef · Israel
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Maccabi K. Ata Bialik's last 7 and 5 of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's last 7; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi K. Ata Bialik averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Hapoel Umm al-Fahm averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Maccabi K. Ata Bialik and 1.93 from Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (green) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | LLLWW | 2.14 | 1.86 | 57% | 86% |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | LWDDD | 1.57 | 1.43 | 71% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.75 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik Win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.05 |
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · 23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot · 23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52