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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 10:25 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel host Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 10:25 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 8 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Hapoel Nazareth Illit had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hapoel Ironi Karmiel's last 8 and 7 of Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Ironi Karmiel averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Hapoel Nazareth Illit averaged 1.56 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Hapoel Ironi Karmiel and 0.76 from Hapoel Nazareth Illit. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 17%, against 35%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (green) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | DWWDD | 1.50 | 0.50 | 50% | 25% |
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | DWWLW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Win | 34% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel form and statistics
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit form and statistics
- Liga Alef statistics
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