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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Hadera host Maccabi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hapoel Hadera had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 8, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hapoel Hadera's last 10 and 5 of Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 8; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Hadera averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Maccabi Kiryat Malachi averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Hapoel Hadera and 1.55 from Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 54%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Hadera (green) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | WDWDW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | DWWDW | 2.13 | 0.88 | 63% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Hapoel Hadera Win | 38% | 2.38 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus · 23 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Ironi Nesher · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Ironi Nesher Win @ 1.57 - Holon Yermiyahu vs Tzeirey Tira · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Holon Yermiyahu Win @ 1.62 - Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem · 23 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · 23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 - Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Dimona · 23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.50 - Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit · 23 Oct 2026, 10:25 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.50 - Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Beit Shean · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 - Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda · 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot · 23 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50