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J1 League · Japan
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka.
Going into the match, Shimizu S-pulse had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Gamba Osaka had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10 and 4 of Gamba Osaka's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shimizu S-pulse averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Gamba Osaka averaged 1.78 scored and 1.33 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Shimizu S-pulse and 1.68 from Gamba Osaka. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 50%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shimizu S-pulse (green) and Gamba Osaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | LWDWW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
| Gamba Osaka | WLDWL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 Gamba Osaka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale · 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki · 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 · FT 0–0 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: FC Tokyo Win @ 1.65