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J1 League · Japan
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
JEF United Chiba host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: JEF United Chiba 0–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Going into the match, JEF United Chiba had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Yokohama F. Marinos had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of JEF United Chiba's last 10 and 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home JEF United Chiba averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1.91 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from JEF United Chiba and 1.64 from Yokohama F. Marinos. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 56%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between JEF United Chiba (green) and Yokohama F. Marinos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | DLLLD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | WDWWW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · JEF United Chiba 2–3 Yokohama F. Marinos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale · 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki · 17 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–0 - Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: FC Tokyo Win @ 1.65 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka · 17 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70