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J1 League · Japan

Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mito Hollyhock host Urawa in the J1 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa.

Going into the match, Mito Hollyhock had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Urawa had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Mito Hollyhock's last 10 and 6 of Urawa's last 10; 3 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mito Hollyhock averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Urawa averaged 1.92 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Mito Hollyhock and 1.69 from Urawa. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 45%, against 28%, 26% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mito Hollyhock (green) and Urawa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals20% – 80%
Overall strength40% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Mito HollyhockWLWLL1.501.1040%30%
UrawaWLWWW2.401.4060%90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals72%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals72%1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.40
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes53%1.80
Under 2.5 Goals52%1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other J1 League matches that day