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Serie B · Italy
Pisa vs Cremonese prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pisa host Cremonese in the Serie B (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pisa 3–1 Cremonese.
Going into the match, Pisa had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Cremonese had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pisa's last 10 and 3 of Cremonese's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pisa averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cremonese averaged 1.00 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Pisa and 1.25 from Cremonese. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%, against 44%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Cremonese 3–0 Pisa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Mantova vs Palermo · 17 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Ascoli vs Empoli · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–2 - Carrarese vs Modena · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 2–1 - Padova vs Virtus Entella · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2