Home › League stats › Serie B › Mantova vs Palermo
Serie B · Italy
Mantova vs Palermo prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mantova host Palermo in the Serie B (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mantova 0–2 Palermo.
Going into the match, Mantova had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Palermo had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Mantova's last 10 and 6 of Palermo's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mantova averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Palermo averaged 1.20 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Mantova and 1.76 from Palermo. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 41%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Sep 2026 · Palermo 5–2 Mantova
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Pisa vs Cremonese · 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–1 - Ascoli vs Empoli · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–2 - Carrarese vs Modena · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 2–1 - Padova vs Virtus Entella · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2