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Serie B · Italy
Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benevento host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Benevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus.
Going into the match, Benevento had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Vicenza Virtus had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Benevento's last 10 and 8 of Vicenza Virtus's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benevento averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vicenza Virtus averaged 2.43 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.36 goals from Benevento and 1.24 from Vicenza Virtus. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 47%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Benevento (green) and Vicenza Virtus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | WLWWL | 1.70 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Vicenza Virtus | LLLDD | 1.20 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Vicenza Virtus 1–4 Benevento
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Pisa vs Cremonese · 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–1 - Mantova vs Palermo · 17 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Ascoli vs Empoli · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Carrarese vs Modena · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 2–1 - Padova vs Virtus Entella · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2