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UEFA Europa League · International
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
OFI host Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bayer Leverkusen Win — Bayer Leverkusen to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: OFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen.
Going into the match, OFI had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Bayer Leverkusen had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of OFI's last 10 and 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home OFI averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.75 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from OFI and 2.23 from Bayer Leverkusen. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 69%, against 9%, 14% and 76% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between OFI (green) and Bayer Leverkusen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | LLLDW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | WWWWW | 2.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen Win | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Bayer Leverkusen HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Bournemouth vs AC Milan · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Celtic vs Celta Vigo · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–6 - Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–4 - Plzen vs Levski Sofia · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–4 - Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Dinamo Zagreb Win @ 1.62 · FT 2–4