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Major League Soccer · USA
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nashville SC host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.
Going into the match, Nashville SC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 8. Sporting Kansas City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nashville SC's last 10 and 7 of Sporting Kansas City's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nashville SC averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sporting Kansas City averaged 0.92 scored and 2.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.21 goals from Nashville SC and 0.80 from Sporting Kansas City. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 6%, against 77%, 14% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nashville SC (green) and Sporting Kansas City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | WWWDL | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Sporting Kansas City | DLWLW | 1.70 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC Win | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Nashville SC 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Nashville SC HT & FT | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Nashville SC form and statistics
- Sporting Kansas City form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
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