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Major League Soccer · USA

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Going into the match, Real Salt Lake had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. San Jose Earthquakes had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Real Salt Lake's last 10 and 7 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Salt Lake averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.77 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Real Salt Lake and 1.28 from San Jose Earthquakes. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Real Salt Lake (green) and San Jose Earthquakes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form21% – 79%
Attack29% – 71%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head40% – 60%
Goals31% – 69%
Overall strength33% – 66%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Real Salt LakeLWLLL0.801.9040%70%
San Jose EarthquakesDWDWW1.301.6070%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.30
Over 2.5 Goals66%1.44
BTTS Yes65%1.44
Under 3.5 Goals56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Major League Soccer matches that day