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Major League Soccer · USA
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Diego host Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Diego 3–3 Houston Dynamo.
Going into the match, San Diego had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 22. Houston Dynamo had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of San Diego's last 10 and 4 of Houston Dynamo's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Diego averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Houston Dynamo averaged 1.29 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from San Diego and 1.57 from Houston Dynamo. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 43%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Diego (green) and Houston Dynamo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | LDDLL | 1.60 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
| Houston Dynamo | DLDLW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Apr 2026 · Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–3 - St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–0 - Inter Miami vs New York City FC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Columbus Crew vs Charlotte · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–3 - Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 3–3