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Major League Soccer · USA
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Toronto FC host Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Toronto FC 3–3 Orlando City SC.
Going into the match, Toronto FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 20. Orlando City SC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Toronto FC's last 10 and 8 of Orlando City SC's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toronto FC averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Orlando City SC averaged 2.20 scored and 2.47 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Toronto FC and 2.11 from Orlando City SC. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 40%, against 43%, 25% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Toronto FC (green) and Orlando City SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | WLLLW | 1.70 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
| Orlando City SC | WLLLW | 2.10 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - San Diego vs Houston Dynamo · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–3 - St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–0 - Inter Miami vs New York City FC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Columbus Crew vs Charlotte · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–3