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Major League Soccer · USA
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union.
Going into the match, Chicago Fire had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Philadelphia Union had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chicago Fire's last 10 and 7 of Philadelphia Union's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chicago Fire averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Philadelphia Union averaged 2.42 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.92 from Philadelphia Union. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 40%, 23% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chicago Fire (green) and Philadelphia Union (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Philadelphia Union | WWWWW | 3.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Chicago Fire form and statistics
- Philadelphia Union form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Columbus Crew vs Charlotte · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–3 - Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 3–3