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Major League Soccer · USA
Inter Miami vs New York City FC prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter Miami host New York City FC in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FC.
Going into the match, Inter Miami had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 14. New York City FC had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Inter Miami's last 10 and 7 of New York City FC's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter Miami averaged 2.71 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 17 matches; away from home New York City FC averaged 1.38 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Inter Miami and 1.26 from New York City FC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 63%, 19% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter Miami (green) and New York City FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | WLDWD | 2.40 | 1.40 | 80% | 80% |
| New York City FC | LDLWL | 1.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Inter Miami Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Inter Miami HT & FT | 44% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - San Diego vs Houston Dynamo · 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes · 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–3 - St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City · 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–0 - Columbus Crew vs Charlotte · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 3–1 - FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–3 - Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC · 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 3–3