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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda vs Heracles prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NAC Breda host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, NAC Breda had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Heracles had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 32 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of NAC Breda's last 10 and 6 of Heracles's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NAC Breda averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Heracles averaged 2.50 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from NAC Breda and 2.22 from Heracles. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 50%, against 41%, 23% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NAC Breda (green) and Heracles (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Almere City FC vs Roda · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - De Graafschap vs Waalwijk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Den Bosch vs MVV · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC OSS vs Jong Ajax · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Vitesse vs Emmen · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50