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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC OSS host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC OSS 3–3 Jong Ajax.
Going into the match, FC OSS had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Jong Ajax had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC OSS's last 10 and 6 of Jong Ajax's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC OSS averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Jong Ajax averaged 1.00 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from FC OSS and 1.24 from Jong Ajax. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 46%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC OSS (green) and Jong Ajax (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Jong Ajax 1–2 FC OSS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Almere City FC vs Roda · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - De Graafschap vs Waalwijk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–1 - Den Bosch vs MVV · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 6–2 - Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 5–4 - NAC Breda vs Heracles · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Vitesse vs Emmen · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–2