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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Eindhoven host Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Eindhoven had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Jong PSV U21 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Eindhoven's last 10 and 8 of Jong PSV U21's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Eindhoven averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Jong PSV U21 averaged 1.25 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from FC Eindhoven and 1.22 from Jong PSV U21. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Eindhoven (green) and Jong PSV U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | LLDLW | 1.40 | 2.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Jong PSV U21 | LDLDL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 80% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Almere City FC vs Roda · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - De Graafschap vs Waalwijk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Den Bosch vs MVV · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - NAC Breda vs Heracles · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC OSS vs Jong Ajax · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Vitesse vs Emmen · 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50