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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Middlesbrough host Cardiff in the Championship (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff.
Going into the match, Middlesbrough had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Cardiff had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Middlesbrough's last 10 and 8 of Cardiff's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Middlesbrough averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cardiff averaged 2.30 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.36 goals from Middlesbrough and 1.80 from Cardiff. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 29%, against 62%, 21% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Middlesbrough (green) and Cardiff (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | WWDDW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Cardiff | WLWLD | 1.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.50 |
| Middlesbrough Win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Middlesbrough HT & FT | 43% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Birmingham vs QPR · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 3–0 - Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Derby vs Stoke City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Norwich vs Portsmouth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Southampton vs Bolton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Swansea vs West Ham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - West Brom vs Blackburn · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–2 - Wrexham vs Preston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Wrexham Win @ 1.67 · FT 4–1 - Millwall vs Lincoln · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Millwall Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–2 - Watford vs Charlton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0