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Championship · England
Millwall vs Lincoln prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Millwall host Lincoln in the Championship (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Millwall Win — Millwall to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Millwall 2–2 Lincoln.
Going into the match, Millwall had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Lincoln had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 10 and 3 of Lincoln's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Millwall averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Lincoln averaged 1.25 scored and 1.44 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Millwall and 0.81 from Lincoln. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Millwall (green) and Lincoln (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Millwall Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Birmingham vs QPR · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 3–0 - Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Derby vs Stoke City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Norwich vs Portsmouth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Southampton vs Bolton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - Swansea vs West Ham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - West Brom vs Blackburn · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–2 - Wrexham vs Preston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Wrexham Win @ 1.67 · FT 4–1 - Middlesbrough vs Cardiff · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Watford vs Charlton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0