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Championship · England
Swansea vs West Ham prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Swansea host West Ham in the Championship (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Swansea 0–1 West Ham.
Going into the match, Swansea had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. West Ham had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 32 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Swansea's last 10 and 7 of West Ham's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Swansea averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home West Ham averaged 2.00 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Swansea and 1.65 from West Ham. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 48%, against 32%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Swansea (green) and West Ham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Birmingham vs QPR · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 3–0 - Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Derby vs Stoke City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Norwich vs Portsmouth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Southampton vs Bolton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–0 - West Brom vs Blackburn · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–2 - Wrexham vs Preston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Wrexham Win @ 1.67 · FT 4–1 - Middlesbrough vs Cardiff · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Millwall vs Lincoln · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Millwall Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–2 - Watford vs Charlton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0