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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kauno Žalgiris host Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann.
Going into the match, Kauno Žalgiris had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Brann had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Kauno Žalgiris's last 10 and 7 of Brann's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kauno Žalgiris averaged 2.12 goals scored and 0.65 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Brann averaged 1.71 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Kauno Žalgiris and 1.04 from Brann. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 20%, 25% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kauno Žalgiris (green) and Brann (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | WLWWL | 2.00 | 0.80 | 20% | 50% |
| Brann | LWLLW | 1.20 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Brann Win | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Ajax vs Atalanta · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–0 - SC Braga vs Gent · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.85 · FT 2–0 - Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - Monaco vs SC Freiburg · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–1 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Getafe vs FC Lugano · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–5 - FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1 - Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Universitatea Craiova Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–3