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Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Panathinaikos WinOdds 1.62Market probability 55%Final score 1–5

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Panathinaikos Win — Panathinaikos to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos.

Going into the match, Kairat Almaty had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Panathinaikos had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Kairat Almaty's last 10 and 4 of Panathinaikos's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kairat Almaty averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Panathinaikos averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Kairat Almaty and 1.72 from Panathinaikos. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kairat Almaty (green) and Panathinaikos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form8% – 92%
Attack10% – 90%
Defence86% – 14%
Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Kairat AlmatyWDWLL1.601.2020%60%
PanathinaikosWWLWW2.200.5040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Under 3.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
Panathinaikos Win57%1.62
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.85
BTTS Yes51%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day