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UEFA Europa League · International
Juventus vs Rennes prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventus host Rennes in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juventus 2–2 Rennes.
Going into the match, Juventus had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Rennes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Juventus's last 10 and 6 of Rennes's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventus averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rennes averaged 1.50 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Juventus and 0.88 from Rennes. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventus (green) and Rennes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Juventus Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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