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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Nordsjaelland host CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 2–2 CSKA Sofia.
Going into the match, FC Nordsjaelland had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. CSKA Sofia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Nordsjaelland's last 10 and 7 of CSKA Sofia's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Nordsjaelland averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home CSKA Sofia averaged 1.55 scored and 0.90 conceded across 20.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from FC Nordsjaelland and 1.28 from CSKA Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 68%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Nordsjaelland (green) and CSKA Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | DDDLL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| CSKA Sofia | WLWDW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| FC Nordsjaelland Win | 68% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- FC Nordsjaelland form and statistics
- CSKA Sofia form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
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