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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Agropecuario vs Colegiales prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Agropecuario host Colegiales in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Agropecuario 0–3 Colegiales.
Going into the match, Agropecuario had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Colegiales had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Agropecuario's last 10 and 2 of Colegiales's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Agropecuario averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Colegiales averaged 0.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Agropecuario and 0.86 from Colegiales. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 32%, against 42%, 31% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Agropecuario (green) and Colegiales (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agropecuario | WDLWL | 0.90 | 0.70 | 10% | 20% |
| Colegiales | DWWLW | 0.90 | 0.80 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Colegiales 0–0 Agropecuario
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Agropecuario Win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 39% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato · 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Tristan Suarez Win @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu · 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta · 17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 - Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes · 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0