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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnasia Y Tiro host Atlanta in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Gimnasia Y Tiro to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 3–1 Atlanta.
Going into the match, Gimnasia Y Tiro had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Atlanta had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 10 and 2 of Atlanta's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnasia Y Tiro averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Atlanta averaged 1.14 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Gimnasia Y Tiro and 0.77 from Atlanta. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 19%, against 40%, 34% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnasia Y Tiro (green) and Atlanta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | DLWLD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
| Atlanta | WWWDW | 1.00 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Atlanta 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato · 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Tristan Suarez Win @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Agropecuario vs Colegiales · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu · 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes · 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0