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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Acassuso host Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Acassuso 0–0 Deportivo Madryn.
Going into the match, Acassuso had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Deportivo Madryn had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Acassuso's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Madryn's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Acassuso averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Deportivo Madryn averaged 1.25 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Acassuso and 1.01 from Deportivo Madryn. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 38%, against 33%, 32% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Acassuso (green) and Deportivo Madryn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | WLWWL | 0.80 | 0.70 | 20% | 20% |
| Deportivo Madryn | LWDWL | 1.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Deportivo Madryn 0–0 Acassuso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Deportivo Madryn Win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato · 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Tristan Suarez Win @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Agropecuario vs Colegiales · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu · 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta · 17 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 - Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes · 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0