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Primera Nacional · Argentina

Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.22Market probability 77%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chacarita Juniors host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Chacarita Juniors to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Deportivo Maipu.

Going into the match, Chacarita Juniors had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Deportivo Maipu had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Chacarita Juniors's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Maipu's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chacarita Juniors averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Deportivo Maipu averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Chacarita Juniors and 0.78 from Deportivo Maipu. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 31%, against 45%, 32% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chacarita Juniors (green) and Deportivo Maipu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence44% – 56%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals71% – 29%
Overall strength56% – 44%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Chacarita JuniorsLWLWL0.701.1030%40%
Deportivo MaipuDWWDD0.900.8040%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X77%1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals77%1.22
BTTS No61%1.50
Over 1.5 Goals58%1.62
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals58%1.62
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Chacarita Juniors Win45%2.05
Under 1.5 Goals42%2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primera Nacional matches that day