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League Two · England
York vs Accrington ST prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
York host Accrington ST in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: York 1–1 Accrington ST.
Going into the match, York had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Accrington ST had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of York's last 10 and 7 of Accrington ST's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home York averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Accrington ST averaged 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from York and 1.23 from Accrington ST. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 35%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between York (green) and Accrington ST (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | DDWDL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Accrington ST | WDDWD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Barnet vs Swindon Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Barnet Win @ 1.48 · FT 1–3 - Bristol Rovers vs Salford City · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Chesterfield vs Colchester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Exeter City vs Crewe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0