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League Two · England
Bristol Rovers vs Salford City prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bristol Rovers host Salford City in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City.
Going into the match, Bristol Rovers had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Salford City had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol Rovers's last 10 and 6 of Salford City's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bristol Rovers averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Salford City averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Bristol Rovers and 1.45 from Salford City. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 39%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bristol Rovers (green) and Salford City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | LLLLW | 0.90 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
| Salford City | WWDWW | 1.80 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Barnet vs Swindon Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Barnet Win @ 1.48 · FT 1–3 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Chesterfield vs Colchester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Exeter City vs Crewe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - York vs Accrington ST · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1