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League Two · England
Exeter City vs Crewe prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Exeter City host Crewe in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Exeter City 2–0 Crewe.
Going into the match, Exeter City had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Crewe had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 10 and 9 of Crewe's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Exeter City averaged 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Crewe averaged 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Exeter City and 0.67 from Crewe. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 24%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Exeter City (green) and Crewe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | DWDWL | 0.80 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
| Crewe | WWDWD | 1.90 | 1.20 | 90% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Barnet vs Swindon Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Barnet Win @ 1.48 · FT 1–3 - Bristol Rovers vs Salford City · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Chesterfield vs Colchester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - York vs Accrington ST · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1