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League Two · England
Barnet vs Swindon Town prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barnet host Swindon Town in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Barnet Win — Barnet to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town.
Going into the match, Barnet had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Swindon Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Barnet's last 10 and 5 of Swindon Town's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barnet averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Swindon Town averaged 0.70 scored and 2.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Barnet and 0.94 from Swindon Town. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barnet (green) and Swindon Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | WWDWW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 90% | 80% |
| Swindon Town | DLLDL | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Barnet Win | 63% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Bristol Rovers vs Salford City · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Chesterfield vs Colchester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Exeter City vs Crewe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - York vs Accrington ST · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1