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League Two · England
Gillingham vs Port Vale prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gillingham host Port Vale in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale.
Going into the match, Gillingham had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Port Vale had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gillingham's last 10 and 3 of Port Vale's last 10; 7 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gillingham averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Port Vale averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Gillingham and 0.87 from Port Vale. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 27%, against 31%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gillingham (green) and Port Vale (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | LWWDL | 2.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Port Vale | WWWDL | 0.80 | 0.80 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Swindon Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Barnet Win @ 1.48 · FT 1–3 - Bristol Rovers vs Salford City · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Chesterfield vs Colchester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Exeter City vs Crewe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - York vs Accrington ST · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1