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League Two · England
Chesterfield vs Colchester prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chesterfield host Colchester in the League Two (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester.
Going into the match, Chesterfield had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Colchester had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chesterfield's last 10 and 6 of Colchester's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chesterfield averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Colchester averaged 1.58 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Chesterfield and 0.90 from Colchester. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chesterfield (green) and Colchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | LDWLD | 2.10 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Colchester | DLDDL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Chesterfield Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Gillingham vs Port Vale · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Barnet vs Swindon Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Barnet Win @ 1.48 · FT 1–3 - Bristol Rovers vs Salford City · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–3 - Exeter City vs Crewe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Northampton vs Tranmere · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–1 - Rochdale vs Grimsby · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Rotherham vs Newport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–2 - Walsall vs Oldham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - York vs Accrington ST · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1